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A bearish credit spread for investors expecting a continued fall in crude oil prices
November 30, 2009 2:30 EST Related Symbols: APA
For those banking on a continued fall in crude oil prices, a bear call spread on Apache (APA) might offer a suitable risk/reward opportunity.
The fundamental and technical pictures for oil seem to tilt toward lower prices, especially with CFTC position limits posing a threat to the currently high net speculative long positions, which are at a level not seen since oil cost more than $100 per barrel. Technically speaking, APA has recently slipped below its 10-week moving average after being sharply rejected from a 52-week high above $105.
APA Credit Spread Trade Details:
APA is currently trading at $95.16.
Credit Spread/Bear Call Spread–
Profit/Loss Details:
Maximum Profit: $1.25 (the credit collected). This excludes commissions, though exit commissions will not be required if both calls expire worthless.
Maximum Risk: $3.75 (the difference between strikes minus the credit collected). Reward on risk is approximately 33%.
Breakeven: $101.25 (the strike of the lower call plus the premium).
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